A STUDY ON DYNAMICS OF INDIA'S GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FOR 2014-2019

Authors

  • Mohammed Aslam Khan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47672/aje.554
Abstract views: 288
PDF downloads: 205

Keywords:

Economics, Gross Domestic Product, Employment, Globalization, Industry, India.

Abstract

Background: The gross domestic product (GDP) is one of the primary indicators used to gauge the health of a country's economy. It reflects the total market value of all finished products and services produced over a specific period within a country. GDP is presented as a comparison to the previous quarter or year and is considered the benchmark for the economy's size. India is emerging as one of the fastest-growing economies in the world and is expected to rank among the top three economic powers of the world over the next 15-20 years, supported by its stable democracy, population growth, and partnerships.

Purpose: The purpose of this paper was to study the dynamics of the Indian economy's GDP growth for the period of 2014 to 2019. The present study tried to understand the trend, contribution, and structure of the various sectors such as agriculture, industry, and services in India's GDP growth.

Methodology: The research methodology used in this paper was quantitative since this method can be used to analyze nearly infinite numbers of phenomena. The study used secondary data for the period 2014 to 2019. Data was collected from the Economic Survey of India and Reserve bank of India bulletins. Descriptive and inferential data analysis techniques were employed.

Findings: The study of GDP growth between 2014-2019 and sectoral level analysis shows interesting facts that India will reach a $5 Trillion GDP mark by 2024-25 at current prices.

Unique contribution to theory, practice, and policy: This paper intended to make policy recommendations that can help India's long-term sustainable growth. The study recommended strategies such as increasing public finance in the agricultural sector and strengthening the integrated public transport projects to the government to maintain stable economic growth to achieve a $5 Trillion economy. This paper will increase the economic researcher's awareness and position it in the library of an institution of higher education

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abramovitz, M. (1986), 'Simon Kuznets: 1901-1985', Journal of Economic History, 46, 241-46.

IBEF Annual Report. (2019). Retrieved July 21, 2020, from https://www.ibef.org/uploads/IBEF-Annual-Report-2018-19.pdf

Ansari, M. I., 1995. Explaining the Service Sector Growth: An Empirical Study of India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka. Journal of Asian Economics. 6 (2). pp. 233–246.

Ard, H.J, den Reijer. (2010), Macroeconomic Forecasting using Business Cycle leading indicators, Stockholm: US-AB.

Biswas, S., & Saha, A. K. (2014). Macroeconomic Determinants of economic growth in India: A Time series analysis. SOP Transactions On Economic Research, 1(2), 54-73.

Chakraborty, Indrani. (2010). Financial Development and Economic Growth in India An Analysis of the Post-reform Period. South Asia Economic Journal. 11. 287-308.

Dasgupta, S.S. (2005). Will Services be the New Engine of Indian Economic Growth? Development and Change, 36(6), 1035–1057.

Dhiraj Jain, K. Sanal Nair, Vaishali Jain, "Factors Affecting GDP (Manufacturing, Services, Industry): An Indian Perspective," Annual Research Journal of SCMS, vol. 3, Pune, April 2015, рр. 38-56.

Diacon, P. E., & Maha, L. G. (2015). The Relationship between Income, Consumption, and GDP: A Time Series, Cross-Country Analysis. Procedia Economics and Finance, 23, 1535-1543.

Engle, R.F, and C.W.J. Granger (1987), "Co-integration and Error-correction Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrics, Vol. 55, No. 2, pp. 251–276.

Govt. of India. 2017. "National Account Statistics - Sources and Methods, 2017." Central Statistical Organisation, Ministry of Statistics and Progamme Implementation, Govt. of India:New Delhi.

ILO (2019), India Wage Report, International Labour Office, New Delhi.

Kurt Annen and Stephen Kosempel, (2018), Why Aid-to-GDP Ratios?, No 1801, Working Papers, University of Guelph, Department of Economics and Finance

Lall, S. N. (2004). Foreign Direct Investment and its Role in Economic Development: Do We Need a New Agenda? The European Journal of Development Research, 16(3), 447-464.

Mallett, J. & Keen, C. (2012). GDP measures growth in the economy or simply growth in the money supply? [Online]. Available from: https://arxiv.org/pdf/1208.0642.pdf

NASSCOM Annual Report 2018-2019. (2019). Retrieved June 27, 2020, from https://www.nasscom.in/sites/default/files/NASSCOM_Annual_Report_2018-19.pdf

Ning, W., Kuan-jiang, B., and Zhi-fa, Y. (2010), analysis and forecast of Shaanxi GDP based on the ARIMA Model, Asian Agricultural Research, Vol. 2 No. 1, pp. 34-41.

Panagariya, Arvind. (2004). Growth and Reforms during the 1980s and 1990s. Economic and Political Weekly. 39. 2581-2594. 10.2307/4415173.

PHD Chamber | Annual Reports. (2019). Retrieved July 17, 2020, from https://www.phdcci.in/annual-report-2018-19/PHDCCI-AR-2018-19.pdf

PHD Chamber | Indian Economy on the Eve of Union Budget 2019-20. (2019). Retrieved 17 July 2020, from https://www.phdcci.in/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/Report-on-Indian-Economy-on-the-eve-of-Union-Budget.pdf

Picardo, E. (2013). http://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/121213/gdp-and-its-importance.asp.

Reserve Bank of India - RBI Bulletin. (2019). Retrieved July 11, 2020, from https://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/BS_ViewBulletin.aspx

Summary Report Calendar Year 2018. (2019). Retrieved July 13, 2020, from https://dea.gov.in/sites/default/files/Summary%20Report_2018-English.pdf

Tiwari, A. (2011). Relationship between Industry, Agriculture, Service Sectors, and GDP: The Indian Experience. International Journal of Economics and Business, 1(2010), 1.

US Bureau of Economic Analysis, "Table 1.1.1.Percent Change From Preceding Period In Real Gross Domestic Product,"

Yang, Lu. (2009), Modeling, and a forecasting GDP data with time series model. Thesis unpublished.

Downloads

Published

2020-08-11

How to Cite

Khan, M. A. (2020). A STUDY ON DYNAMICS OF INDIA’S GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FOR 2014-2019. American Journal of Economics, 4(1), 36 - 49. https://doi.org/10.47672/aje.554

Issue

Section

Articles